Kerwin Swint

White voters dominated Georgia’s election last month

Name of Publication: 
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
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Nunn, Carter have political futures — should they choose to run again

Name of Publication: 
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Excerpt of Article: 

Posted: 4:59 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 6, 2014

By Aaron Gould Sheinin and Jeremy Redmon - The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Jason Carter waded into his crowd of supporters gathered in an Atlanta hotel ballroom Tuesday after conceding defeat to Gov. Nathan Deal, hugged friends and posed for pictures.

One of his admirers shouted: “Four more years and you got it!” Carter smiled but didn’t take the bait. He also didn’t take questions from reporters then and hasn’t publicly spoken of his plans since. Nor has fellow Democrat Michelle Nunn, who lost to David Perdue in Georgia’s U.S. Senate race.

But they both would have a bright future in politics if they decide to run again, state Democratic leaders say. Both are young, well-educated and articulate candidates with strong political pedigrees. Carter is a grandson of former President Jimmy Carter. And Nunn is the daughter of former U.S. Sen. Sam Nunn. ...

Kerwin Swint, a Kennesaw State University political scientist, said a 2018 run for governor is possible for Carter.

“I always thought that this could be just a trial heat for him, like a warm-up act, and that 2018 might be an even better opportunity for him,” Swint said. “We might have a different environment by then, too. Obama will be gone. It will be an open seat.” ...

Experts try to make sense of gap between polls and vote in Georgia

Name of Publication: 
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Excerpt of Article: 

Posted: 4:59 p.m. Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014

By Nancy Badertscher and Shannon McCaffrey - The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

There was one thing most polls seemed to agree on in the weeks leading up to Tuesday’s election — the two top races in Georgia were so excruciatingly close that both might have to be decided by runoffs.

But then the voters stepped in. Republicans won in a rout. It wasn’t a horse race — it was a political blowout.

There was one thing most polls seemed to agree on in the weeks leading up to Tuesday’s election — the two top races in Georgia were so excruciatingly close that both might have to be decided by runoffs.

But then the voters stepped in. Republicans won in a rout. It wasn’t a horse race — it was a political blowout.

Meanwhile, some earlier surveys were simply imprecise. They relied on automated calling and Internet surveys, cheaper methods scorned by more established pollsters.

“We have major polling problems (in Georgia),” said Kerwin Swint, chairman of the political science department at Kennesaw State University.

“No one here knows how to model turnout based on voting patterns, population, and issues.” ...

Cobb politicos: Holder controversial, partisan AG

Name of Publication: 
The Marietta Daily Journal
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by Ricky Leroux
September 27, 2014 04:00 AM | 1744 views |

MARIETTA — Cobb officials and politicos are mixed on the impact Attorney General Eric Holder has had on the country. Holder announced his resignation this week. 

Kerwin Swint, a political science professor at Kennesaw State University, said Holder has been more political in his responses to issues while in office than his predecessors, which has resulted in some criticism.

“I think he’s going to be looked at as a very partisan attorney general, someone who tried to help his president, Barack Obama, move forward on issues like gay rights, civil rights (and) voting rights. … But (he) encountered significant opposition and a fair amount of controversy,” Swint said. 

Swint said he’s not implying Holder has done anything inappropriate, just that he was more willing than most attorneys general to engage in politics.

“He’s been one of our more controversial attorneys general,” he said. “He’s had some successes; he’s had his share of politicized fights over issues, over process with Congress. I’m sure Republicans won’t miss him, but Democrats will, I’m sure.”

As Swint predicted, Cobb residents had very different opinions on Holder, depending on their party. ...

 

On one side Georgia voter registration probe a big deal, on the other not so much

Name of Publication: 
Athens Banner-Herald
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ATLANTA | Beyond the headlines and campaign rhetoric, the state’s investigation into possible irregularities by a Democratic-leaning group’s efforts to register blacks, Asians and Hispanics to vote has many facets, and not all are yet known.

The investigation into the New Georgia Project began in early May, when local registrars started reporting to the Secretary of State’s Elections Division that voters had complained of intimidation and that documents turned in by the group appeared suspicious. In all, officials in 13 counties so far — from Effingham and Toombs in the southeast to Coweta and Gwinnett in the northwest — have submitted suspicious documents to state investigators.

Since Secretary of State Brian Kemp is a Republican, Democrats and officials of the New Georgia Project have alleged in the media that the investigation is a GOP attempt at minority voter suppression. But many of the complaints that triggered the probe originated in Democrat-controlled counties like Muscogee, DeKalb and Fulton. ...

Because one of New Georgia’s leaders is state Rep. Stacey Abrams, an advisor to Michelle Nunn’s campaign for the U.S. Senate and the state House Democratic leader, at least one GOP operative has said repeatedly that Nunn is tied to the scandal.

“Michelle Nunn’s direct ties to the state voter registration fraud investigation run deep,” said Leslie Shedd, spokeswoman for the Georgia Republican Party’s Georgia Victory initiative.

But no direct evidence of Nunn’s involvement has surfaced other than her association with Abrams. Nunn’s campaign has its own voter-registration effort in conjunction with the Democratic Party of Georgia and Jason Carter’s campaign for governor.

Neither side is not above political gamesmanship, according to Kerwin Swint, a former political operative who is now a political science professor at Kennesaw State University.

“Both parties are trying to position themselves to win the turnout game,” he said.

Kemp, like other Republicans, is trying to counter registration gains Democrats have made in recent years, Swint said.

“Stacey Abrams claims her efforts are nonpartisan, though they are clearly partisan. They are trying to register as many Democrats as possible,” he said. “Brian Kemp claims he is simply trying to uphold the law, yet there is no doubt his efforts also have a partisan intent.” ...

 

PolitiFact: Mayor on target with claim about campaign promises

Name of Publication: 
Atlanta Journal Constitution
Excerpt of Article: 

Posted: 2:37 p.m. Thursday, Aug. 14, 2014

By April Hunt - The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Everyone knows those folks who want to get elected will make promises they later shrug them off with the same speed as they hand off squirming toddlers.

So imagine the cynical overload when the AJC’s Truth-O-Meter read this absolute in a recent press release from Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed:

“He’s kept every promise he made as a candidate, including re-opening the city’s recreation centers, reforming the city’s pension plan, standing up a force of 2,000 police officers and not raising property taxes,” the release claimed. ...

We could nitpick since Atlanta had just 1,971 officers on the force this week, as it struggles with the same churn other local law enforcement agencies face.

But PolitiFact Georgia wants to be more skeptical than cynical. So we dug into press coverage during Reed’s 2009 campaign and found smaller promises that need some explaining: ...

So, would accepting those explanations mean giving Reed too much leeway to keep his promises?

Not necessarily. Politicians tend to keep promises more than you might think, said Kerwin Swint, the chairman of the political science department at Kennesaw State University.

Blame — sigh — the media for implying candidates don’t at least try, according to Thomas Patterson’s 1993 book, “Out of Order,” Swint said. It cites four studies of seven presidential campaigns and found that once elected, presidents keep the promises they made as candidates.

“In general, politicians try to keep their promises because it’s in their best interest to do so,” Swint said. “From their point of view, they can’t wave a magic wand and make things happen. There is a process, and that can seem like foot-dragging to critics.” ...

 

 

Michelle Nunn’s Campaign Plan

Name of Publication: 
National Review Online
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A leaked document gives the public a look. 

A new, litigious phase in Georgia’s race for governor

Name of Publication: 
Atlanta Journal-Constitution
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Posted: 2:44 p.m. Saturday, July 26, 2014

By Greg Bluestein

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

 

Georgia’s campaign for governor shifted into litigious territory Friday as boosters of Gov. Nathan Deal and his Democratic challenger, Jason Carter, traded complaints over timely fundraisers and politicized tweets in an effort to tar their opponent as unethical.

Republicans have socked Carter, an Atlanta state senator, and his supporters with a range of complaints in recent days as the governor vows to reinvigorate his last bid for public office. It’s ground Carter’s camp is happy to fight over, offering a fresh chance to revive ethics questions swirling around the governor’s 2010 campaign.

It’s also a sign that the ethics commission, vilified by both campaigns, will play an outsized role in this campaign as it vets this volley of complaints, as well as later rounds that are almost assured to come through November.

“Both campaigns are trying to get an upper hand on the ethics issue,” said Kerwin Swint, a Kennesaw State University political scientist. ...

Area experts weigh in on Cobb, state runoff results

Name of Publication: 
The Marietta Daily News
Excerpt of Article: 

by Ricky Leroux

July 24, 2014 04:00 AM

MARIETTA — The dust has settled, and the winners of the runoff elections have been crowned. So why did the elections shake out the way they did?

Political experts in Cobb pointed to a variety of factors, including name recognition, endorsements and a strong ground game, as the reason some candidates succeed while others did not.

Some pundits predicted the results of the race for a seat on the Cobb Board of Education, but were surprised by how one-sided the election was as Susan Thayer defeated incumbent Tim Stultz by a significant margin; Thayer received 3,030 votes, or 70 percent, while Stultz took home only 1,271, or 30 percent. ...

Thayer goes on to face Democrat Kenya Pierre in November for the District 2 seat on the board

Loudermilk’s ground game puts him over the top

Meanwhile, in the race to be one of Georgia’s representatives in the other chamber of the U.S. Congress, former state Rep. Barry Loudermilk defeated former U.S. Rep. Bob Barr to become the presumptive 11th District Repres-entative for the state of Georgia.

Loud-ermilk received 34,641 votes statewide, or about 66 percent, compared to 17,794 votes, or about 34 percent, for Barr. In Cobb County, Loudermilk took 59 percent of the vote, good for 13,591 votes, compared to only 9,314, or 41 percent, for Barr.

Kerwin Swint, a professor of political science at Kennesaw State University, argued Loudermilk’s endorsements from religious and conservative organizations, such as FreedomWorks, resonated with the types of voters in District 11.

“He’s a conservative, family-based candidate in a conservative district, and so his issue concerns and policies lined up very, very closely to where a majority of voters in the district are,” Swint said. ...

 

Read more: The Marietta Daily Journal - Area experts weigh in on Cobb state runoff results

 

Runoff sees candidates’ highs, lows

Name of Publication: 
The Marietta Daily Journal
Excerpt of Article: 
by Sarah Westwood
July 21, 2014 04:00 AM | 1797 views

MARIETTA — In the two months since a number of primary contests were whittled down to two contenders, candidates for seats from the local school board to the U.S. House have not pulled punches in their efforts to emerge victorious Tuesday.

The runoff season — which began for some races when no one primary candidate managed to capture 50 percent of the electorate May 20 — has seen several competitive races take a negative turn as the July 22 election approaches.

Former commission Chairman Bill Byrne and former Acworth Alderman Bob Weatherford have been locked in a tight contest for outgoing Commissioner Helen Goreham’s seat representing northwest Cobb, a race that has seemingly pitted grassroots support against the influence of Cobb Chamber leaders. 
 

Among the most contentious contests to be decided is the runoff between Barry Loudermilk, a former state senator from Bartow County, and Bob Barr, a former congressman and presidential candidate, for U.S. Rep. Phil Gingrey’s seat representing the 11th District. Gingrey vacated his seat to launch an ultimately unsuccessful bid for the U.S. Senate.

Both candidates have dug up unflattering pieces of each other’s history in their attempts to prove themselves the more worthy choice.
 

Also in a runoff are Cobb Juvenile Court Judge Juanita Stedman and prosecutor Ann Harris, who are vying for retiring Judge Jim Bodiford’s seat on the Cobb Superior Court bench, and Cobb school board member Tim Stultz, who is defending his post against education consultant Susan Thayer.
 

Kerwin Swint, a political science professor at Kennesaw State University, said there’s always “a bit of a risk involved” when runoff opponents decide to launch attacks on each other.
 

“There’s always a calculation,” Swint said. “When you’re going to attack your opponent, you’re going to take some heat yourself. So you better make sure, if you’re going to go after your opponent, the attack hurts him more than it hurts you.” ...

Read more: The Marietta Daily Journal 

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